mrbros
0x80db183bb816ef77533d734144bda4399a6c4a73
- Realised P&L
- $170.50
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 537
- Open portfolio
- $10.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded537
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.24at 0.295Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?
- +$30.86at 0.383Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?
- +$26.56at 0.336Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 31?
- +$25.58at 0.431Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 28?
- +$24.42at 0.186Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.275 | $2.75 |
| 09-23 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-23 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.34 |
| 09-23 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.39 | $9.75 |
| 09-23 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.50 |
| 09-23 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.54 | $11.34 |
| 09-18 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.25 |
| 09-18 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2849 | $4.27 |
| 09-18 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3666666667 | $5.50 |
| 09-15 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.4385 | $8.77 |
| 09-15 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-15 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.75 |
| 09-15 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 09-15 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |