0x80D4F8C6fa4d0F90FdA38fb4C6FAa62FeD31Fa48-1772800925249
0x80d4f8c6fa4d0f90fda38fb4c6faa62fed31fa48
- Realised P&L
- $-88.48
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $39.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.37at 0.034Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
- +$2.00at 0.500Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
- +$1.51at 0.019Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?
- +$1.10at 0.780Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.36at 0.420Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 11:14 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.75 | $11.25 |
| 04-08 07:44 | Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 04-07 12:48 | Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 04-07 12:46 | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 04-05 20:59 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.6599999505 | $4.00 |
| 04-05 20:51 | Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 04-05 20:50 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 04-05 20:49 | Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 04-04 19:28 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 04-04 18:55 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.037 | $2.22 |
| 04-04 18:54 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2599999584 | $4.00 |
| 04-04 14:42 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.70 |
| 04-01 15:11 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | SELL | 0.0085334414 | $3.37 |
| 04-01 14:52 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.0184093121 | $3.49 |
| 04-01 14:52 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | BUY | 0.0251659849 | $4.57 |