Harkell
0x80cfaa0805fb422fea9eb6fd320145c2b4c97f70
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $254.4k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $259.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 26? · No | 0.760 | 0.819 | $259.19 | +$18.52 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 5? · No | 0.751 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$989.98 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 26? · No | 0.728 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$982.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$480.66at 0.675Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 23?
- +$447.50at 0.820Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on July 6 at 5PM ET?
- +$414.21at 0.837Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 16?
- +$412.10at 0.708Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8?
- +$393.75at 0.835Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 18:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.75 | $527.04 |
| 08-17 11:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.66 | $501.60 |
| 08-17 11:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.66 | $455.40 |
| 08-09 11:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.67 | $973.75 |
| 08-02 15:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 08-02 15:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-02 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-02 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-02 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-02 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-02 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-02 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-02 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-02 15:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-02 15:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |