agrarward
0x80cf6712f17249a90d0811201db95c433a4b7611
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $6.01M
- Markets traded
- 1,963
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,963
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.034Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$5.8kat 0.034Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$5.8kat 0.034Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$5.8kat 0.034Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$5.8kat 0.034Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 13:34 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.9979851694 | $2.3k |
| 09-19 13:14 | Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | BUY | 0.999 | $154.56 |
| 09-19 12:52 | Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Drama eSports - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $108.35 |
| 09-18 20:07 | Counter-Strike: Gothboiclique vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D | BUY | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 09-18 19:52 | Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage | BUY | 0.9979405166 | $200.15 |
| 09-18 18:23 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs | BUY | 0.999 | $4.4k |
| 09-17 13:46 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 09-16 19:57 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 17:09 | Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group A | BUY | 0.999 | $77.68 |
| 09-14 22:41 | Counter-Strike: Young27 vs WW Team - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-14 19:15 | Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $141.76 |
| 09-14 18:15 | Counter-Strike: KAMUI vs Fortress - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $104.89 |
| 09-12 23:14 | Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.999 | $565.17 |
| 09-12 17:02 | Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.9900433798 | $16.5k |
| 09-12 12:47 | Counter-Strike: WBT vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.9924030839 | $428.64 |