TomFung
0x80cce7d679b3121b08fe7c90272877294b85b5a4
- Realised P&L
- $-10.7k
- Volume
- $1.68M
- Markets traded
- 492
- Open portfolio
- $411.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded492
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.015Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$1.9kat 0.067Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?
- +$1.4kat 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
- +$1.2kat 0.115Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
- +$704.69at 0.140Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.3399999976 | $17.27 |
| 11-01 04:45 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0099698412 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 04:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0099009901 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 04:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.1209999992 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 06:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.038 | $46.25 |
| 10-31 06:30 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $7.00 |
| 10-30 05:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0924314919 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 05:33 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0142578865 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 05:32 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5824345486 | $323.51 |
| 10-29 14:46 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0156533089 | $49.00 |
| 10-29 12:56 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0244074482 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 11:03 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0194889252 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 18:18 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1344160829 | $49.00 |
| 10-26 08:32 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0234519297 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 07:27 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1319999999 | $12.00 |