PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TomFung

0x80cce7d679b3121b08fe7c90272877294b85b5a4

Realised P&L
$-10.7k
Volume
$1.68M
Markets traded
492
Open portfolio
$411.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded492
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0270.009$399.20−$806.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes0.0660.005$8.73−$96.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes0.1210.029$3.60−$11.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down0.0630.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$4.89
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? · Down0.0110.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$106.36
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? · Up0.0780.000$0.00−$46.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Down0.0480.000$0.00−$14.68
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 4? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.87
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? · Down0.0160.000$0.00−$2.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.0330.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.0480.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 31? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$46.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 04:45Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?BUY0.3399999976$17.27
11-01 04:45Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0099698412$10.00
11-01 04:43Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.0099009901$5.00
11-01 04:43Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.1209999992$15.00
10-31 06:40Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 31?BUY0.038$46.25
10-31 06:30Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.01$7.00
10-30 05:38Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.0924314919$100.00
10-30 05:33Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0142578865$100.00
10-30 05:32Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?SELL0.5824345486$323.51
10-29 14:46Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0156533089$49.00
10-29 12:56Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0244074482$100.00
10-28 11:03Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0194889252$100.00
10-26 18:18Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.1344160829$49.00
10-26 08:32Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0234519297$100.00
10-22 07:27Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.1319999999$12.00