kirkoroff
0x80c491861e32f2aa5eee7bdcb5c2fed56e9049af
- Realised P&L
- $-95.19
- Volume
- $534.44
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $35.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.615 | $10.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.430 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.800 | 0.795 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.655 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.710 | $4.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.520 | $4.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.20 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:52 | Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 23:49 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 23:46 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 23:21 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 23:04 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 22:59 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 22:00 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $95.20 |