jsnfksjanfads
0x80c3a7d3ee7835b1ced39748d446e092fd1c0cde
- Realised P&L
- $154.73
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.605 | $1.3k | −$424.10 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes | 0.738 | 0.750 | $597.64 | +$9.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$403.39at 0.668Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$160.56at 0.862Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:55 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.7709158057 | $478.46 |
| 09-16 16:14 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.6254550866 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 22:40 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.612306391 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 16:30 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.7k |
| 06-03 18:38 | Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $498.83 |
| 06-03 18:33 | Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8538402115 | $496.88 |
| 10-29 18:34 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6679999998 | $811.63 |