PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

blockpwx

0x80c052f2189288b94e732083facd93ee590dc4f6

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$107.3k
Markets traded
2,591
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,591
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.6420.685$533.68+$33.68
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18? · Yes0.6130.575$468.87$31.13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.6350.730$459.73+$59.73
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.7400.745$302.03+$2.03
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 18? · Yes0.5670.575$260.77+$3.69
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18? · Yes0.6900.655$189.86$10.14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.5190.490$188.67$11.32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 18? · Yes0.6500.410$126.15$73.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? · Yes0.5000.615$123.00+$23.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18? · Yes0.5310.615$115.74+$15.74
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? · Yes0.5780.635$109.78+$9.78
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? · Yes0.4700.505$107.50+$7.50
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.5500.590$107.27+$7.27
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.5050.515$102.04+$2.04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.5200.505$97.12$2.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:00Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.72$50.00
09-17 22:46Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.6084705095$300.00
09-17 22:00Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.55$100.00
09-17 21:48Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.657153403$300.00
09-17 20:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.6795938293$300.00
09-17 19:22Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.74$300.00
09-17 17:21Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 18?BUY0.5668669518$257.09
09-17 16:00Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.5194073497$200.00
09-17 16:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.52$100.00
09-17 13:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?BUY0.67$50.00
09-17 03:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.5309732916$100.00
09-17 02:20Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.62$200.00
09-17 02:01Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.4697651149$100.00
09-17 02:01Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.5$100.00
09-17 02:01Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.6$50.00