robertguk
0x80a48ce7ceda7c387e88b3c79f909fc2efce0ba4
- Realised P&L
- $-10.4k
- Volume
- $161.6k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $131.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$721.96at 0.461France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$672.92at 0.085Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$509.59at 0.260Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$396.00at 0.340Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$262.85at 0.004Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999993 | $15.00 |
| 08-30 23:18 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 08-30 23:18 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0654273333 | $9.81 |
| 08-30 23:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4699999995 | $250.00 |
| 07-26 14:32 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0679314803 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 14:02 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1989999852 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 13:00 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 12:58 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0280000003 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 21:12 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0625 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:09 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1988521261 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:07 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4349999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 19:06 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5849999991 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 19:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.0529999912 | $6.00 |
| 07-19 18:06 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |