lit7tony
0x809cf975539661e9f195d1b56dd4863a6c3f1d60
- Realised P&L
- $-130.24
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $196.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.00at 0.500Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$85.19at 0.540Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$84.29at 0.262Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$54.07at 0.270Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$52.04at 0.490Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 01:43 | Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8169999994 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 01:43 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8630399979 | $31.00 |
| 07-16 01:42 | Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7667747195 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 14:30 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3849999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 15:45 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2624999942 | $30.00 |
| 07-10 15:44 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 15:44 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3859999995 | $300.00 |
| 07-04 09:22 | Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 09:22 | Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 09:22 | Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 09:22 | Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5029999976 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 09:21 | Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 09:17 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 09:08 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 09:05 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |