PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lit7tony

0x809cf975539661e9f195d1b56dd4863a6c3f1d60

Realised P&L
$-130.24
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$196.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7830.791$151.66+$1.66
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8630.895$32.15+$1.15
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.5870.685$12.85+$1.85
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 7? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.00
Warriors vs. Lakers · Lakers0.4400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$450.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.7490.000$0.00$6.00
Timberwolves vs. Lakers · Timberwolves0.5700.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 20? · No0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million? · No0.7200.000$0.00$2.00
Nuggets vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.5200.000$0.00$20.00
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 01:43Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8169999994$50.00
07-16 01:43Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8630399979$31.00
07-16 01:42Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7667747195$100.00
07-11 14:30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3849999987$100.00
07-10 15:45Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2624999942$30.00
07-10 15:44Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
07-10 15:44Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3859999995$300.00
07-04 09:22Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
07-04 09:22Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.73$100.00
07-04 09:22Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5399999981$100.00
07-04 09:22Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5029999976$100.00
07-04 09:21Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5$100.00
07-04 09:17Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.6899999869$10.00
07-04 09:08Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999654$5.00
07-04 09:05Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999654$5.00
Trader lit7tony · PolyBot