PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lit7tony

0x809cf975539661e9f195d1b56dd4863a6c3f1d60

Realised P&L
$-230.85
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$96.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7830.242$46.47$103.53
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8630.973$34.95+$3.95
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.5870.780$14.63+$3.63
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 7? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.00
Warriors vs. Lakers · Lakers0.4400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$450.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.7490.000$0.00$6.00
Timberwolves vs. Lakers · Timberwolves0.5700.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 20? · No0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million? · No0.7200.000$0.00$2.00
Nuggets vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.5200.000$0.00$20.00
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 01:43Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8169999994$50.00
07-16 01:43Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8630399979$31.00
07-16 01:42Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7667747195$100.00
07-11 14:30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3849999987$100.00
07-10 15:45Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2624999942$30.00
07-10 15:44Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
07-10 15:44Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3859999995$300.00
07-04 09:22Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
07-04 09:22Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.73$100.00
07-04 09:22Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5399999981$100.00
07-04 09:22Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5029999976$100.00
07-04 09:21Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5$100.00
07-04 09:17Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.6899999869$10.00
07-04 09:08Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999654$5.00
07-04 09:05Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999654$5.00