Dice.Dominator
0x809ccc8cd6677ff1fcdec48a7ca99772c620e287
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $144.8k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $162.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.755 | $75.50 | +$14.50 |
| Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.575 | $28.75 | −$0.75 |
| Will Honor of Kings Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? · No | 0.666 | 0.923 | $19.38 | +$5.40 |
| Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.945 | $18.90 | +$1.90 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.875 | $17.50 | +$0.30 |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.012 | $2.40 | −$47.60 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$602.12at 0.614Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$455.00at 0.870Suns vs. Thunder
- +$266.53at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?
- +$100.80at 0.964Nets vs. Raptors
- +$50.26at 0.969Spurs vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:16 | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 09-09 15:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-01 12:11 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 08-27 03:33 | Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 08-19 07:10 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 08-14 04:04 | Will Honor of Kings Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | BUY | 0.666 | $13.99 |
| 08-10 01:56 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 07-30 12:26 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 07-20 03:42 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 07-12 05:42 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 07-06 05:15 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 06-27 17:09 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 06-27 17:09 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | SELL | 0.9605454545 | $52.83 |
| 06-21 13:44 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 06-21 13:43 | Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |