0x8099edeeb2501bfb7b05695cfd0f495db66da9a0
0x8099edeeb2501bfb7b05695cfd0f495db66da9a0
- Realised P&L
- $23.44
- Volume
- $582.30
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $5.18
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.380 | $5.18 | +$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.78at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$10.96at 0.296Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?
- +$8.57at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 22?
- +$7.79at 0.213Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$7.53at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3299999912 | $4.50 |
| 11-01 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0899999974 | $1.40 |
| 11-01 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.28 | $0.70 |
| 10-31 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.2299999928 | $2.25 |
| 10-31 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.267768588 | $4.50 |
| 10-30 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.34999999 | $8.71 |
| 10-30 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4129213325 | $8.75 |
| 10-30 02:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999882 | $8.85 |
| 10-30 02:13 | XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999895 | $2.26 |
| 10-30 02:13 | XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $2.24 |
| 10-30 02:13 | XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999919 | $8.97 |
| 10-30 02:13 | XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 02:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999809 | $8.92 |
| 10-30 02:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2999999966 | $8.72 |
| 10-30 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |