Louisasd
0x809114e6ee433f6d46d81f290741d20015f7b1ea
- Realised P&L
- $49.23
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $13.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.320 | 0.305 | $13.42 | −$0.66 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · Astralis | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.84 |
| Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.08 |
| Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-19? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.92 |
| Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-22? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.84 |
| Thunder vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$489.55at 0.500Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$474.63at 0.500Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$138.60at 0.500Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$78.65at 0.517Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?
- +$42.32at 0.500Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:28 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $14.08 |
| 09-04 02:21 | Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.72 | $16.56 |
| 08-17 11:32 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.34 | $8.84 |
| 07-29 07:49 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 07-29 07:49 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $84.83 |
| 07-29 07:49 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 07-29 07:46 | Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.31 | $21.08 |
| 07-22 11:44 | Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.44 | $26.84 |
| 07-06 07:37 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.41 | $26.81 |
| 06-12 07:01 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.48 | $35.14 |
| 05-29 03:39 | UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.76 | $19.15 |
| 05-23 07:55 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.91 |
| 05-23 07:55 | Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $680.32 |
| 05-23 07:54 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? | SELL | 0.995 | $31.80 |
| 05-23 07:54 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.997 | $238.03 |