Bet Menis
0x808a3ab42725ed506010418f56d3371df03d819b
- Realised P&L
- $-89.48
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $43.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.25at 0.640Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$50.00at 0.500Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?
- +$46.15at 0.520Solana above $200 on November 15?
- +$45.00at 0.550Will $ETH be above $1800 on April 7?
- +$42.59at 0.540Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 08:34 | Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799999969 | $22.82 |
| 08-16 08:32 | APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $19.39 |
| 08-16 01:04 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4728653295 | $16.50 |
| 06-25 20:30 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4809999982 | $47.00 |
| 06-25 20:28 | Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7399999964 | $24.56 |
| 06-24 21:25 | Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $19.50 |
| 06-24 21:22 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.05 | $9.62 |
| 06-24 21:22 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.81 |
| 06-24 21:21 | Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $24.58 |
| 06-22 22:26 | Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6299999978 | $34.27 |
| 06-15 12:28 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.9199999984 | $22.79 |
| 06-14 22:16 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6699999964 | $49.02 |
| 06-14 22:13 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.609999996 | $48.93 |
| 06-14 22:12 | Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7199999977 | $49.09 |
| 06-12 05:35 | Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.689999993 | $19.62 |