PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bet Menis

0x808a3ab42725ed506010418f56d3371df03d819b

Realised P&L
$-89.48
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$43.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8800.745$19.32−$3.50
APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7000.595$16.48−$2.91
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4730.210$7.33−$9.17
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4810.000$0.00−$47.00
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.7200.000$0.00−$49.09
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5580.000$0.00−$24.01
Astronomer Divorce Parlay · Yes0.2470.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$4.81
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$12.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$25.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs0.5500.000$0.00−$9.77
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18 at 5PM ET? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$22.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 08:34Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8799999969$22.82
08-16 08:32APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7$19.39
08-16 01:04Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.4728653295$16.50
06-25 20:30Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.4809999982$47.00
06-25 20:28Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)BUY0.7399999964$24.56
06-24 21:25Spread: Brazil (-1.5)BUY0.48$19.50
06-24 21:22Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.05$9.62
06-24 21:22Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$4.81
06-24 21:21Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9$24.58
06-22 22:26Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5BUY0.6299999978$34.27
06-15 12:28Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.9199999984$22.79
06-14 22:16Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6699999964$49.02
06-14 22:13Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.609999996$48.93
06-14 22:12Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5BUY0.7199999977$49.09
06-12 05:35Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5BUY0.689999993$19.62