PolyBot

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Traders

pingwuNokia

0x808720942c2faff6e6377dc63fea5c42bc63abb1

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$66.6k
Markets traded
1,797
Open portfolio
$44.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,797
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.1150.865$8.65+$7.50
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.965$4.81+$0.12
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · No0.8970.926$4.63+$0.15
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8700.885$4.42+$0.07
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.4600.875$4.38+$2.08
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · No0.6600.870$4.35+$1.05
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? · Yes0.7700.810$4.05+$0.20
Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election? · Yes0.7700.780$3.90+$0.05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6100.505$2.52−$0.53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.1840.426$2.13+$1.21
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · Yes0.2000.095$0.47−$0.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.3050.000$0.00−$6.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.2510.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 06:37Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.92$13.80
09-29 00:02Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?BUY0.77$3.85
09-28 23:58Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.9$4.50
09-28 03:34Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?BUY0.77$3.85
09-28 03:28Will Albania win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.95$4.75
09-28 03:26Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?SELL0.752$3.76
09-28 03:20Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.83$4.15
09-23 10:14Will Xi leave the USA on September 25, 2026?BUY0.986$4.93
09-23 07:15Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.82$4.10
09-23 05:21Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.35$1.75
09-21 07:12Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30?BUY0.89$17.80
09-20 02:44Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?BUY0.983$4.92
09-19 15:35Will San Diego FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.84$12.60
09-19 14:25Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?SELL0.96$4.80
09-19 14:23Iran leadership change by September 30?SELL0.984$4.92