0x807e7b28649d05699cd30db031924ae5255194f6
- Realised P&L
- $-29.63
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $7.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.046 | $2.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.087 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
| Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.045 | $1.32 | −$3.56 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.004 | $0.93 | −$5.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.37at 0.250Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
- +$1.19at 0.789Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.04at 0.990Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
- +$-0.12at 0.515Trump out as President before GTA VI?
- +$-0.46at 0.011Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 15:23 | Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? | BUY | 0.1665863206 | $4.88 |
| 09-07 15:19 | Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | SELL | 0.0082537278 | $1.39 |
| 08-15 15:20 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0339999838 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 23:15 | Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.69 |
| 08-12 08:24 | Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.0258398489 | $4.00 |
| 08-11 13:11 | Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 08-10 22:01 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0289999954 | $6.00 |
| 08-10 21:58 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 18:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.10 |
| 07-02 12:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.2065085394 | $2.36 |
| 06-28 18:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | BUY | 0.1179998997 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 18:46 | Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 20:39 | Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 13:20 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.94 |
| 05-19 16:17 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0331570073 | $1.77 |