PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CryptoGerm

0x807ccea75c5f34b63728794f42fde9cb3ac6f1e3

Realised P&L
$-993.26
Volume
$510.2k
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$53.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0350.034$12.21−$0.73
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? · Yes0.0600.035$5.33−$3.72
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0360.034$3.40−$0.20
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? · Yes0.0370.026$3.24−$1.38
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0690.064$3.20−$0.30
Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026? · Yes0.0870.065$3.12−$1.06
Ramp IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0250.028$2.64+$0.28
WHOOP IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0510.047$2.38−$0.22
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0330.029$2.17−$0.27
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? · Yes0.0400.035$2.11−$0.30
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? · Yes0.0390.035$1.96−$0.24
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · Yes0.0340.030$1.83−$0.21
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0330.033$1.81+$0.01
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0150.015$1.45−$0.05
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? · Yes0.0650.066$1.31+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 09:35Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?BUY0.0459999994$1.40
10-31 09:34Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?BUY0.0439999997$1.40
10-31 09:34Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?BUY0.0429999988$1.30
10-31 09:34Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?BUY0.0409999988$1.30
10-31 09:34Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?BUY0.0379999992$1.20
10-31 09:29Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?SELL0.029959009$3.33
10-31 09:27Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?SELL0.05$3.75
10-31 09:26Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?BUY0.066$1.32
10-31 09:22Epic Games IPO before 2027?BUY0.022$1.10
10-31 09:22Ramp IPO before 2027?BUY0.0275987143$1.00
10-31 09:22ByteDance IPO before 2027?BUY0.0359999997$1.00
10-31 09:22Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.0336448589$1.00
10-31 09:21OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.037$7.40
10-31 09:21Mistral AI IPO before 2027?BUY0.042$2.10
10-31 09:21WHOOP IPO before 2027?BUY0.0514068432$2.60