dur-kurigalzu
0x807cb956f14a4d2310a1fa35ef824b261b70e9ca
- Realised P&L
- $-50.53
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $213.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.973 | 0.973 | $50.57 | −$0.03 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · No | 0.978 | 0.980 | $45.37 | +$0.07 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.946 | 0.954 | $45.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.955 | $37.24 | +$0.20 |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.986 | $32.52 | −$0.05 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.963 | $2.49 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.53at 0.739Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
- +$2.54at 0.952Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$1.63at 0.965Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?
- +$0.90at 0.968Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.69at 0.972Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 06:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? | BUY | 0.9769999993 | $21.65 |