Simon2face
0x807a6e0de728d11e68e4a81012240abd8d03a56c
- Realised P&L
- $-74.45
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 568
- Open portfolio
- $1.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded568
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.395 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Austria vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.510 | 0.495 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: PSV O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) · FK Bodø/Glimt | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · No | 0.685 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) · Sabah FK | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.52at 0.240Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$10.13at 0.170Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$8.64at 0.070Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
- +$8.60at 0.140Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$8.06at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 03:59 | Austria vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:57 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:51 | Will Albania win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:50 | Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:49 | England vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:08 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 09:09 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 09:08 | Will PSV win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 09:08 | Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Sunderland AFC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:17 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:14 | Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:11 | AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:09 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 16:59 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:44 | Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |