PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x806F374fCa06CA7C499C232f64804A14b06f707F-1733306667262

0x806f374fca06ca7c499c232f64804a14b06f707f

Realised P&L
$-61.75
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$40.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.9980.999$23.11+$0.01
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? · No0.9960.997$17.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 04:33Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?BUY0.996$17.00
10-09 19:29Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?BUY0.9969999717$18.00
10-07 01:47Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.997$27.00
10-06 02:57Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY0.998$23.10
10-02 05:14Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.998$10.90
10-01 22:21Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 2?BUY0.9945342808$29.00
09-26 17:06Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27?BUY0.9969999999$24.20
09-25 10:26Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 25?BUY0.997$21.06
09-25 05:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 26?BUY0.997$23.00
09-23 06:21Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.997$20.00
09-18 23:24Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20?BUY0.9979999416$15.00
09-14 03:45Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.9969999999$22.20
09-13 18:05Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.996$18.00
09-07 04:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7?BUY0.9949999826$28.00
09-04 12:19Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?BUY0.996$17.00