0x806d0ff426ab7c3fc1ecacf7180096323f6433ad
0x806d0ff426ab7c3fc1ecacf7180096323f6433ad
- Realised P&L
- $7.65
- Volume
- $163.18
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $8.61
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.645 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.880 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.855 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $532.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.455 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.270 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.345 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.580 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.210 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.230 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.33at 0.300US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:07 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 15:02 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $532.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:44 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:25 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 02:54 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:47 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:49 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 01:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:30 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:29 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:29 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:24 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:46 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |