0x806a58D1D5B69717c2006Ec74E0E848e030d62d7-1772588110157
0x806a58d1d5b69717c2006ec74e0e848e030d62d7
- Realised P&L
- $-411.10
- Volume
- $41.5k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $758.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$241.10at 0.367Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$227.95at 0.276Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$207.51at 0.435Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$198.78at 0.527Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$156.20at 0.357Spread: France (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:05 | Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $7.83 |
| 11-01 16:04 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0525952203 | $8.43 |
| 11-01 14:10 | Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4199999954 | $16.41 |
| 11-01 14:09 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05? | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 14:07 | Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5698324674 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 14:03 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5799999973 | $70.00 |
| 11-01 13:50 | Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6199999984 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 13:50 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 13:27 | Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5599999974 | $85.00 |
| 11-01 13:23 | Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 11:57 | Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.05 | $12.50 |
| 10-29 09:54 | Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.122087535 | $13.95 |
| 10-28 21:47 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $39.48 |
| 10-28 21:20 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3743842362 | $60.00 |
| 10-28 21:16 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $40.00 |