Applelover101
0x8069c9ea9f5b0eed49ab51a27443d1060b73b7d4
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $176.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $96.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.019 | $56.89 | −$263.94 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.186 | $39.78 | +$7.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.187Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$-9.80at 0.033Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$-27.20at 0.036Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$-238.98at 0.045Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$-680.30at 0.036Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:08 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.1099571758 | $256.76 |
| 04-23 14:42 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $76.19 |
| 04-23 14:42 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $76.19 |
| 04-23 14:42 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $55.30 |
| 04-23 14:41 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $57.15 |
| 03-26 20:00 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 15:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $375.00 |
| 03-25 18:40 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.0789135955 | $10.19 |
| 03-24 14:13 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.0328806508 | $7.84 |
| 03-24 14:09 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.0787972973 | $58.31 |
| 03-24 14:09 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.0758643677 | $57.86 |
| 03-23 07:56 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.0k |
| 03-23 07:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $623.84 |
| 03-23 06:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $606.33 |
| 03-10 15:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.26 |