Glenn12
0x80626979fad4a8fa44a37877caf3583a1800b619
- Realised P&L
- $-29.14
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $5.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $5.99 | −$0.01 |
| Warriors vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Magic vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.699 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.76at 0.748Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?
- +$2.87at 0.748Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 06:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 07-18 06:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 02:51 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 03:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.00 |
| 05-29 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on June 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 05-29 09:04 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $10.98 |
| 05-29 03:29 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $11.00 |
| 04-23 06:32 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.66 |
| 04-16 05:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.43 |
| 03-18 03:46 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $8.76 |
| 03-18 03:45 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $9.62 |
| 03-12 03:30 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9909999995 | $9.65 |
| 03-07 07:19 | Magic vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.6990008619 | $2.90 |
| 03-03 02:09 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $14.96 |