0x8061aa44634bf0b19276edec61790f09ee6301f4
0x8061aa44634bf0b19276edec61790f09ee6301f4
- Realised P&L
- $7.65
- Volume
- $186.54
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $7.22
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.840 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.640 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.680 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.740 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.585 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.660 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.455 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 9?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.270Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 15:50 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 15:49 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:34 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:45 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:47 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:46 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:18 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:14 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:35 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:33 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $185 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 04:58 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:26 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |