PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Lisbon

0x8055ae09bfeeac2f46dffe254cc1868f2df444c4

Realised P&L
$9.7k
Volume
$3.34M
Markets traded
601
Open portfolio
$68.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded601
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.882$50.9k+$22.1k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.117$6.8k$22.1k
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · No0.9230.978$3.2k+$179.66
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9880.987$3.0k$2.95
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2420.207$1.4k$240.45
Joe Burrow traded to the Jets? · No0.9920.994$1.2k+$2.10
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9460.946$945.50$0.50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9600.962$396.34+$0.82
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9410.979$345.41+$13.24
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.9180.954$310.84+$11.57
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · No0.9730.974$9.73+$0.00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.7400.958$0.96+$0.22
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:17Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.96$395.52
08-03 01:11Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Washington Nationals?BUY0.999$12.99
08-03 01:11Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Toronto Blue Jays?BUY0.999$32.97
08-03 01:11Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Texas Rangers?BUY0.999$12.99
08-03 01:11Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Tampa Bay Rays?BUY0.999$32.97
08-03 01:11Will Tarik Skubal's next team be St. Louis Cardinals?BUY0.999$32.97
08-03 01:11Will Tarik Skubal's next team be San Francisco Giants?BUY0.999$12.99
08-03 01:11Will Tarik Skubal's next team be San Diego Padres?BUY0.999$12.99
08-03 01:11Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Pittsburgh Pirates?BUY0.999$32.97
08-03 01:11Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Philadelphia Phillies?BUY0.999$23.98
08-03 01:11Will Tarik Skubal's next team be New York Yankees?BUY0.999$26.97
08-03 01:10Will Tarik Skubal's next team be New York Mets?BUY0.999$7.99
08-03 01:10Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Milwaukee Brewers?BUY0.999$52.95
08-03 01:10Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Los Angeles Angels?BUY0.999$32.97
08-03 01:10Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Houston Astros?BUY0.999$12.99