Majneklej
0x8054adf9b8da828c0c1569bef390be534a442d44
- Realised P&L
- $833.37
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $393.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14? · No | 0.920 | 0.905 | $393.48 | −$6.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$416.56at 0.440Will Croatia beat Poland?
- +$259.39at 0.728GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
- +$172.04at 0.993Swell airdrop in 2024?
- +$112.89at 0.382Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
- +$50.62at 0.730Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 21:22 | Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.92 | $400.00 |
| 05-22 21:01 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? | BUY | 0.9979999991 | $900.00 |
| 02-22 13:04 | Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9541380438 | $500.00 |
| 01-15 14:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January? | BUY | 0.9959999994 | $937.14 |
| 12-09 16:33 | Will USD.AI launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.9800341363 | $918.43 |
| 11-03 22:52 | Will Albania win on 2025-11-13? | BUY | 0.7299999988 | $136.86 |
| 11-03 22:51 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | SELL | 0.868 | $136.86 |
| 10-08 17:20 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.9942941949 | $412.93 |
| 10-08 17:20 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | SELL | 0.5263870014 | $412.89 |
| 10-06 13:49 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.9449999999 | $298.29 |
| 10-06 13:49 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | BUY | 0.3824586792 | $300.00 |
| 10-06 13:48 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $596.40 |
| 09-07 17:57 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.9759999999 | $153.89 |
| 08-02 20:46 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $600.00 |
| 08-02 20:46 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BUY | 0.973047192 | $100.00 |