Van4er
0x804d3be809d9ec275d53b60c3c2c0a33028dcf86
- Realised P&L
- $-791.25
- Volume
- $75.6k
- Markets traded
- 588
- Open portfolio
- $0.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded588
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.03at 0.787Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?
- +$108.31at 0.269Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?
- +$90.69at 0.701Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?
- +$86.05at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 10?
- +$53.23at 0.112Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $97.82 |
| 09-16 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9293169399 | $91.00 |
| 09-16 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.95 |
| 09-16 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.1610043942 | $17.95 |
| 09-16 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $73.12 |
| 09-16 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $71.00 |
| 09-15 23:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.0472956356 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.152449277 | $17.00 |
| 09-15 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.2099999969 | $9.52 |
| 09-15 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.9260730734 | $30.16 |
| 09-15 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.2753947332 | $8.97 |
| 09-15 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.645952381 | $8.68 |
| 09-15 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.744047619 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.1586141667 | $19.03 |
| 09-15 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |