0x804B5e95Ad2a949fF526981333AfA1a15876B090-1778433119828
0x804b5e95ad2a949ff526981333afa1a15876b090
- Realised P&L
- $-192.56
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 493
- Open portfolio
- $92.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded493
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.69at 0.680Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?
- +$31.98at 0.768Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?
- +$29.39at 0.754Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?
- +$29.00at 0.565Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?
- +$19.94at 0.675Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 05-22 09:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 05-21 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 05-21 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 05-21 22:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 05-21 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 05-21 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 23? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 05-21 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on May 23? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.06 |
| 05-21 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 05-21 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 05-20 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22? | SELL | 0.065 | $0.33 |
| 05-20 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 05-19 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 05-19 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 05-19 21:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 20? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.06 |