0x80467d0d7b7f3424f0a0f065b7d55b0150b0e77b
- Realised P&L
- $-10.11
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $9.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.003 | $9.00 | −$12.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.40at 0.008Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.09at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on March 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on March 21? | BUY | 0.996 | $22.10 |