Juicecredit
0x8043a691039c540cd1594b4378c9106c1c20805d
- Realised P&L
- $-686.67
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $296.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.938 | $296.63 | +$44.63 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$123.69 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.50 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.648 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.83 |
| Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.226 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.01 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$141.01 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.90at 0.296Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
- +$41.11at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.68at 0.088Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$34.56at 0.715Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?
- +$24.93at 0.823Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 19:16 | Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.796460177 | $252.00 |
| 10-28 18:52 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.8919213632 | $174.56 |
| 10-26 06:49 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7153400694 | $140.00 |
| 09-29 15:34 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2127806548 | $28.00 |
| 09-29 15:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2944862685 | $30.67 |
| 09-29 15:21 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3931785173 | $32.25 |
| 09-29 15:20 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1877119756 | $44.00 |
| 09-29 15:19 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | SELL | 0.5502021884 | $79.95 |
| 09-29 15:18 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1609244331 | $11.76 |
| 09-29 15:16 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1096406361 | $15.00 |
| 09-29 15:15 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | SELL | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 09-29 15:14 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0953373016 | $28.83 |
| 09-21 15:51 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | BUY | 0.768 | $150.00 |
| 09-21 15:48 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $181.43 |
| 09-06 11:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999983 | $63.53 |