0x804394a24AE567410588740B8bD52f6846C66734-1786669055325
0x804394a24ae567410588740b8bd52f6846c66734
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $84.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.600Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$33.29at 0.083Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
- +$17.30at 0.104Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
- +$15.13at 0.165Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?
- +$12.27at 0.196Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:36 | Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.2299999948 | $4.85 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.586 | $3.62 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.68 |
| 09-16 22:29 | Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.8129998679 | $4.96 |
| 09-16 22:29 | Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.4689999788 | $2.94 |
| 09-16 09:49 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.64 |
| 09-12 18:56 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.8449999719 | $4.97 |
| 09-12 18:53 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8199999306 | $4.96 |
| 09-12 18:52 | Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.801999955 | $4.96 |
| 09-12 18:47 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.3899999733 | $2.92 |
| 09-12 18:46 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.1469999937 | $2.90 |
| 09-12 18:46 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 09-12 18:46 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | SELL | 0.0129349781 | $1.06 |
| 09-10 21:02 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $4.00 |
| 09-10 21:02 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4730834283 | $3.91 |