PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x804394a24AE567410588740B8bD52f6846C66734-1786669055325

0x804394a24ae567410588740b8bd52f6846c66734

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$9.9k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$84.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar14.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat? · Yes0.9400.955$5.07+$0.08
Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat? · Yes0.9410.950$5.04+$0.04
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.8450.825$4.85$0.12
Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? · No0.4690.759$4.76+$1.82
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat? · Yes0.9100.915$4.76+$0.03
Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes0.2300.225$4.74$0.11
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? · No0.8130.762$4.65$0.31
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.3100.285$4.47$0.39
Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.6160.683$4.37+$0.43
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7400.765$4.14+$0.14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8500.765$4.02$0.45
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.6400.605$3.72$0.22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5100.405$3.11$0.81
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.5400.415$3.07$0.93
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3800.385$2.96+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:36Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?BUY0.2299999948$4.85
09-17 22:35Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.586$3.62
09-17 22:35Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.61$3.68
09-16 22:29Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?BUY0.8129998679$4.96
09-16 22:29Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?BUY0.4689999788$2.94
09-16 09:49Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.13$1.64
09-12 18:56Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.8449999719$4.97
09-12 18:53Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.8199999306$4.96
09-12 18:52Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.801999955$4.96
09-12 18:47Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?BUY0.3899999733$2.92
09-12 18:46Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.1469999937$2.90
09-12 18:46Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.002$0.02
09-12 18:46Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?SELL0.0129349781$1.06
09-10 21:02Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5399999568$4.00
09-10 21:02Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4730834283$3.91