mikeboix
0x804160663795c142a2ee7d0cfa55df56ddec498e
- Realised P&L
- $6.72
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $848.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.929 | 0.964 | $518.84 | +$18.84 |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes | 0.812 | 0.795 | $283.85 | −$6.15 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.502 | 0.510 | $45.73 | +$0.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.57at 0.785Will Türkiye be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- +$4.32at 0.612Will Serbia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
- +$0.89at 0.808Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3?
- +$-0.18at 0.989Will England win on 2026-10-06?
- +$-0.96at 0.844Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:14 | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.8 | $90.00 |
| 10-08 11:14 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.8 | $79.01 |
| 10-07 19:33 | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.8099999942 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 19:33 | Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | SELL | 0.84 | $99.99 |
| 10-07 08:52 | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 07:53 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5051025255 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 07:52 | Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3? | SELL | 0.85 | $21.25 |
| 10-06 19:51 | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.8217317276 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 19:48 | Will England win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.986 | $54.88 |
| 10-06 19:38 | Will England win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.988 | $55.00 |
| 10-06 19:37 | Will Türkiye be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.8698394614 | $50.39 |
| 10-05 21:59 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4978740777 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 19:57 | Will Türkiye be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.84 | $25.00 |
| 10-05 18:55 | Will Türkiye be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 18:50 | Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |