PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mgxsx

0x803a112b5eb1404eea463b26a2318cfcb3b9219e

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$528.7k
Markets traded
1,902
Open portfolio
$439.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,902
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 8? · No0.9991.000$331.83+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 8? · Yes0.9971.000$107.30+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 8? · Yes0.0860.001$0.01−$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 6? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 07:16Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 8?BUY0.999$331.67
10-08 05:23Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 8?BUY0.78$39.00
10-08 05:23Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 8?BUY0.76$7.60
10-08 04:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8?SELL0.12$2.64
10-08 03:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 8?BUY0.0181980907$0.46
10-08 03:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8?BUY0.36$7.92
10-08 02:50Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 8?SELL0.7$3.50
10-08 01:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?BUY0.8550125$34.20
10-08 01:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?BUY0.86$8.60
10-08 00:46Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 8?BUY0.086$0.86
10-08 00:46Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 8?BUY0.7$49.00
10-08 00:11Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 8?BUY0.69$3.45
10-07 16:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 8?BUY0.45$2.25
10-07 07:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?BUY0.977$42.47
10-07 07:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?BUY0.9791485368$66.25