Cherr1401
0x80385f5c2db57c86a621a9acfd34170ce0da8b15
- Realised P&L
- $-273.06
- Volume
- $52.9k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $343.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.25at 0.170Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$105.35at 0.359Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$78.33at 0.703Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$76.14at 0.129Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$67.44at 0.602Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 15:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999997 | $36.49 |
| 09-01 13:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999969 | $59.43 |
| 08-27 18:43 | Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? | BUY | 0.309999997 | $44.00 |
| 08-03 23:10 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0299999971 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 23:10 | Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? | BUY | 0.3099999869 | $14.00 |
| 07-19 19:09 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:07 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.2 | $16.00 |
| 07-15 17:07 | England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.2099999972 | $46.38 |
| 07-15 17:07 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 15:40 | Declan Rice: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.0591308835 | $55.00 |
| 07-15 15:38 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.36 | $51.12 |
| 07-14 17:20 | Mikel Merino: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1299999984 | $68.00 |
| 07-14 13:32 | France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1899999982 | $79.32 |
| 07-12 13:48 | Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12? | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 23:03 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7524999987 | $115.49 |