PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JustBetNo

0x8033103df0250fbe19a91f40b9afb1f805bb4795

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$186.7k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5560.820$368.96+$118.96
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4360.855$339.12+$166.12
Tread FDV above $5M one day after launch · Yes0.9450.980$207.38+$7.38
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.5000.470$94.00$6.00
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.535$92.91$19.97
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.2300.290$58.00+$12.00
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5300.545$54.50+$1.50
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1500.000$0.00$60.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? · No0.0560.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$19.99
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.4100.000$0.00$82.00
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 17:19Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.8$63.22
07-07 21:52Tread FDV above $5M one day after launchBUY0.9446420468$200.00
07-07 21:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.94$111.91
07-06 21:05Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.27$40.50
07-06 20:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.88$104.76
06-30 16:28Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.724214667$51.55
06-30 16:28Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$25.00
06-30 16:27StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.82$159.49
06-16 03:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$20.00
06-13 17:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.4199999977$100.00
06-07 18:20Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?BUY0.0560000002$20.00
06-01 14:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.81$162.00
05-24 02:45Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.05$20.00
05-15 12:49Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$60.00
05-14 16:58Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.28$3.36