0x802E0bc0d2207D88A19C2918a5fb2E3dF8F24841-1778415376632
0x802e0bc0d2207d88a19c2918a5fb2e3df8f24841
- Realised P&L
- $-11.74
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $37.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.23at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.00at 0.200S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 2?
- +$16.00at 0.200S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4?
- +$14.09at 0.718SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?
- +$11.40at 0.430S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 02:12 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 08-20 04:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 20? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-12 09:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 12? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 08-07 12:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 7? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-07 08:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 08-05 04:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-04 11:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.9 | $3.68 |
| 08-04 04:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 07-31 12:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 07-31 04:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 07-30 12:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 07-15 12:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.582 | $23.28 |
| 07-10 06:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 10? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 07-09 00:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.15 |
| 07-07 08:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 7? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |