0x802E0bc0d2207D88A19C2918a5fb2E3dF8F24841-1778415376632
0x802e0bc0d2207d88a19c2918a5fb2e3df8f24841
- Realised P&L
- $30.06
- Volume
- $545.37
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $9.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 3? · Up | 0.350 | 0.955 | $9.55 | +$6.05 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? · Up | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.30 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29? · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 8? · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28? · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23? · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16? · Up | 0.585 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17? · Up | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.70 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 22? · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22? · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 24? · Up | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.75 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? · Up | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 16? · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.72at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.50at 0.710SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?
- +$11.40at 0.430S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?
- +$6.50at 0.350S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 20?
- +$6.50at 0.350S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 12:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 07-31 04:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 07-30 12:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 07-15 12:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.582 | $23.28 |
| 07-10 06:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 10? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 07-09 00:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.15 |
| 07-07 08:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 7? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 07-02 08:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-02 02:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 07-02 02:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 07-01 10:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 07-01 08:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 06-29 12:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 29? | SELL | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 06-26 07:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 26? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 06-18 08:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |