PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

burata

0x802afdc286e871bee381951cf49fc5cac38d5f10

Realised P&L
$-48.24
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$0.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.054$0.59$4.41
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$3.00
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$27.68
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00$4.00
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) · Pimblett0.6500.000$0.00$8.00
Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-05 22:05Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2145085466$4.00
01-05 22:04Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY0.0222574687$1.00
01-05 22:01Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?BUY0.312835999$3.00
01-05 22:01UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.6499999878$8.00
01-05 22:00Maduro mugshot released by January 9?BUY0.1899999569$3.00
01-05 21:59No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.9099997513$3.00
01-05 21:59Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
01-05 21:58Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.25$5.00
12-07 20:24Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?BUY0.7299999971$27.68
12-07 20:21Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.69$27.68
12-07 20:20Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.6999999975$28.08
11-29 21:04Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?SELL0.0469487578$28.08
11-29 08:41Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?BUY0.0496872023$29.72