burata
0x802afdc286e871bee381951cf49fc5cac38d5f10
- Realised P&L
- $-48.24
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.054 | $0.59 | −$4.41 |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.68 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) · Pimblett | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.59at 0.313Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?
- +$0.30at 0.910No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.40at 0.700Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$-1.64at 0.050Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-05 22:05 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2145085466 | $4.00 |
| 01-05 22:04 | Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.0222574687 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 22:01 | Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January? | BUY | 0.312835999 | $3.00 |
| 01-05 22:01 | UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6499999878 | $8.00 |
| 01-05 22:00 | Maduro mugshot released by January 9? | BUY | 0.1899999569 | $3.00 |
| 01-05 21:59 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9099997513 | $3.00 |
| 01-05 21:59 | Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 01-05 21:58 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 12-07 20:24 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07? | BUY | 0.7299999971 | $27.68 |
| 12-07 20:21 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.69 | $27.68 |
| 12-07 20:20 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6999999975 | $28.08 |
| 11-29 21:04 | Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale? | SELL | 0.0469487578 | $28.08 |
| 11-29 08:41 | Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale? | BUY | 0.0496872023 | $29.72 |