0x802a57FC
0x802a576fc450a3de8e5312829fe7956ea0a9a9d2
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $188.38
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers vs. Buccaneers · Packers | 0.630 | 0.625 | $62.50 | −$0.50 |
| Cowboys vs. Texans · Cowboys | 0.410 | 0.415 | $41.50 | +$0.50 |
| Lions vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.360 | 0.355 | $35.50 | −$0.50 |
| Colts vs. Commanders · Commanders | 0.360 | 0.345 | $34.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.041 | $11.88 | +$3.08 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.003 | $2.50 | −$32.37 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.506 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.60 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.50 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$165.00 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Up | 0.497 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5 · Under | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spurs vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$806.42at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$340.57at 0.658Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$276.00at 0.080Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$244.38at 0.756Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
- +$222.19at 0.259Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 20:35 | Packers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 10-01 20:35 | Colts vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 10-01 20:34 | Lions vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 10-01 20:33 | Cowboys vs. Texans | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 07-21 17:01 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.008476944 | $21.19 |
| 07-21 15:33 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1193098 | $23.86 |
| 07-21 14:59 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.003 | $9.00 |
| 07-21 14:57 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0085144 | $12.77 |
| 07-21 14:55 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.102 | $2.55 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 07-19 20:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.25 | $23.23 |
| 07-18 16:40 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.035 | $23.66 |
| 07-18 16:37 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.034 | $4.21 |
| 07-18 11:10 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 07-17 08:30 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |