ClickingButtons7
0x802928b95f6abf16c8436ff50df3c2cba5c8bafc
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $487.6k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.775Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$319.20at 0.228US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
- +$267.44at 0.988Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$265.36at 0.956Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$261.43at 0.430US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:00 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.17 |
| 09-15 02:05 | Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.60 |
| 09-15 01:57 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.01 |
| 09-15 01:51 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.59 |
| 09-15 01:51 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 01:51 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 01:49 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.08 |
| 09-15 01:47 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.20 |
| 09-15 01:47 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 20:49 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.08 |
| 09-14 20:49 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.11 |
| 09-13 10:15 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.28 |
| 09-13 01:38 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.15 |
| 09-13 01:34 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.11 |
| 09-12 17:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.81 |