0x802576e2dde42bed27f6b275a1de84f7f5687fef
0x802576e2dde42bed27f6b275a1de84f7f5687fef
- Realised P&L
- $0.36
- Volume
- $143.37
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $6.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.736 | 0.989 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.710 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.997 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.925 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.395 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.385 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.10at 0.329S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:21 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:51 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:36 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7359998116 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:36 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:35 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:35 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 28? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:06 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:18 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:29 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:15 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |