anbk23658
0x802540bc862bd85b8ee733fc1dc8a27bf76c78d9
- Realised P&L
- $64.53
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $1.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.370 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers · Auburn Tigers | 0.305 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| Washington Huskies vs. Wisconsin Badgers · Washington Huskies | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashes · Ohio Bobcats | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles · California Golden Bears | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguars · Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles · Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Lipscomb Bisons · Lipscomb Bisons | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.91 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers · Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals · SMU Mustangs | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates · Creighton Bluejays | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-14? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.47at 0.120Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$35.14at 0.740Suns vs. Kings
- +$30.00at 0.250Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators
- +$28.65at 0.259Grambling State Tigers vs. Jackson State Tigers
- +$28.46at 0.260Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:51 | ODI Series Kenya vs Bahrain: Kenya vs Bahrain | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 06:57 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 08:49 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7199998618 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 15:32 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 15:28 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SELL | 0.1700810413 | $116.69 |
| 05-18 05:48 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 06:39 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 06:38 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BUY | 0.1457574371 | $100.00 |
| 04-30 10:58 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 04-22 16:16 | Thunder vs. Suns | BUY | 0.8399999955 | $14.86 |
| 04-22 16:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | SELL | 0.85 | $99.52 |
| 04-05 16:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.12 | $13.10 |
| 03-15 03:18 | Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 03:18 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-15? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 03:18 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |