PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8024b1B023135F0d83f8CC393E81Fc6b8f494841-1772957337595

0x8024b1b023135f0d83f8cc393e81fc6b8f494841

Realised P&L
$3.45
Volume
$91.49
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$1.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.4900.235$1.00−$1.09
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7700.702$0.91−$0.09
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$2.28
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers0.5400.000$0.00−$1.22
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$1.40
Hurricanes vs. Penguins · Penguins0.4300.000$0.00−$2.32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17? · No0.5380.000$0.00−$2.32
Pelicans vs. Kings · Pelicans0.6470.000$0.00−$1.48
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$2.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes0.2980.000$0.00−$2.70
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 10:10Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.4899998992$2.09
08-30 00:22Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6499999122$1.11
08-22 19:03Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027?BUY0.77$1.00
06-30 15:28Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.4699998602$1.58
06-27 14:27Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.7099999938$1.14
06-23 09:08Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.4199998991$2.33
06-21 16:23Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5$2.28
06-20 15:20Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.4299999242$2.95
05-10 11:08Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4$1.77
05-09 11:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999671$1.85
05-07 12:24Hurricanes vs. FlyersBUY0.6099999921$1.55
05-06 14:11Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?BUY0.4799999392$1.58
05-05 08:05Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.649999887$1.15
05-04 18:35Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.5399998584$1.22
04-11 09:31Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?BUY0.7399998816$1.50