0x8021d23cb3276c6e742671b03dd3cd2ba89ccb4c
0x8021d23cb3276c6e742671b03dd3cd2ba89ccb4c
- Realised P&L
- $3.69
- Volume
- $515.45
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $5.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.285 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.365 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.315 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Wydad Sportif Témara win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Vaasan Palloseura win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Cairns Taipans vs. Brisbane Bullets · Brisbane Bullets | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Down | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.09at 0.054Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-06?
- +$4.74at 0.186Will Chile win on 2026-10-05?
- +$3.67at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$2.91at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$1.98at 0.337Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:13 | Will Wydad Sportif Témara win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:12 | Will Vaasan Palloseura win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:12 | Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:11 | Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:09 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:08 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:08 | Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:56 | Cairns Taipans vs. Brisbane Bullets | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:55 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:34 | Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:32 | NL: Lausanne vs. Lugano | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:30 | CSKA Moscow vs. Uralmash | SELL | 0.18 | $2.25 |