pmmm
0x801f70597c2d17964f5536b6178ab15d5e32ea09
- Realised P&L
- $246.80
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $17.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.510 | $16.68 | +$6.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.004 | $0.39 | −$12.89 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up | 0.451 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.97 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance · Switzerland | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$338.98at 0.003Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
- +$74.15at 0.773Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
- +$59.28at 0.480Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
- +$18.23at 0.636Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$9.73at 0.621Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.33 |
| 09-25 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.86 |
| 09-25 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.32 |
| 09-25 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-25 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.31 | $98.04 |
| 09-25 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3 | $91.88 |
| 09-25 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.12 | $36.75 |
| 09-25 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-25 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-25 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.89 | $0.61 |
| 07-27 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999759 | $4.84 |
| 07-27 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999632 | $4.69 |
| 07-27 19:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 07-27 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999656 | $4.84 |
| 07-27 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999632 | $4.69 |