PolyBot

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Traders

pmmm

0x801f70597c2d17964f5536b6178ab15d5e32ea09

Realised P&L
$246.80
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$17.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? · Yes0.3200.510$16.68+$6.21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27? · Yes0.1200.004$0.39−$12.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00−$1.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.4510.000$0.00−$12.97
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance · Switzerland0.2520.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 17:40Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27?SELL0.1$10.33
09-25 16:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.32$8.86
09-25 16:15Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27?BUY0.12$3.32
09-25 15:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.32$1.60
09-25 14:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?SELL0.31$98.04
09-25 14:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.3$91.88
09-25 14:37Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27?BUY0.12$36.75
09-25 14:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.29$1.45
09-25 14:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.29$1.45
09-25 14:23Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27?BUY0.89$0.61
07-27 19:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.5299999759$4.84
07-27 19:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.4799999632$4.69
07-27 19:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.48$2.40
07-27 19:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.5199999656$4.84
07-27 19:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.4799999632$4.69