PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pizzaallosqualo

0x801ba46b0e7ba3f82e6a3cfcedb436318e43e036

Realised P&L
$16.5k
Volume
$73.46M
Markets traded
196
Open portfolio
$9.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded196
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.003$1.4k$2.0k
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.003$1.1k$226.98
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.005$1.1k$299.99
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.004$666.47$653.52
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.004$614.95$966.35
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.003$541.26$300.51
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.002$478.38$1.4k
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.004$478.07$155.58
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.003$404.10$565.74
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.003$302.15$302.15
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.5800.555$277.47$12.50
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$196.42$589.27
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0100.011$195.28+$9.30
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.003$177.06$174.86
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.002$150.00$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 10:24Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.002$39.57
07-25 08:31Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.007$13.15
07-23 11:00Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.003$0.63
07-19 11:04Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$2.45
07-15 10:38Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$1.1k
07-15 10:36Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.004$114.40
07-14 07:39Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.006$54.37
07-14 07:29Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.006$122.29
07-07 09:28Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.005$0.33
07-01 12:35Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$274.59
06-23 22:01Will Ghana finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?BUY0.38$11.40
06-15 00:56Will Ecuador finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?BUY0.65$19.50
06-15 00:55Will Ecuador finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?BUY0.5999258138$79.25
06-15 00:55Will Ivory Coast finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?BUY0.44$18.48
06-14 11:21Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.11$5.04