63fgd5
0x801b5e358441f4afd22a84b0ace418a6a96c6774
- Realised P&L
- $-132.51
- Volume
- $33.6k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $12.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $8.40 | −$75.60 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $4.18 | −$67.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.64at 0.008Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.68at 0.988Will Kim Jong Un meet with Sanae Takaichi by December 31?
- +$0.34at 0.966Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?
- +$0.21at 0.985Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.15at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 29-January 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-27 08:18 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $38.43 |
| 02-13 08:26 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $30.56 |
| 02-13 08:25 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.986 | $30.05 |
| 01-14 00:37 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9849999986 | $120.13 |
| 01-09 06:56 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9279999941 | $32.92 |
| 01-09 06:54 | Will XRP dip to $1.60 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 01-09 06:54 | Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 01-09 06:54 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.00 |
| 01-04 01:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 29-January 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $152.77 |
| 12-08 07:51 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.75 |
| 12-02 02:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7? | BUY | 0.966 | $9.66 |
| 11-20 04:42 | Will Kim Jong Un meet with Sanae Takaichi by December 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $138.32 |