PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

63fgd5

0x801b5e358441f4afd22a84b0ace418a6a96c6774

Realised P&L
$-132.51
Volume
$33.6k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$12.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration75.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.001$8.40$75.60
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.001$4.18$67.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-27 08:18Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$38.43
02-13 08:26Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$30.56
02-13 08:25Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.986$30.05
01-14 00:37Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9849999986$120.13
01-09 06:56Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9279999941$32.92
01-09 06:54Will XRP dip to $1.60 January 5-11?BUY0.999$20.00
01-09 06:54Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 5-11?BUY0.999$40.00
01-09 06:54Will XRP dip to $1.40 January 5-11?BUY0.999$60.00
01-04 01:48Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 29-January 4?BUY0.999$152.77
12-08 07:51Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.998$12.75
12-02 02:11Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?BUY0.966$9.66
11-20 04:42Will Kim Jong Un meet with Sanae Takaichi by December 31?BUY0.988$138.32