PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sowano

0x8002b4c99629fece2d793ee7f203f3d81c097895

Realised P&L
$-318.17
Volume
$22.8k
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$44.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8? · Yes0.6740.840$18.23+$3.61
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? · Yes0.3980.285$16.87−$6.69
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? · Yes0.6400.595$8.92−$0.67
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 8? · Yes0.0100.015$0.12+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 8? · Yes0.0090.001$0.05−$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 8? · Yes0.0210.001$0.03−$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 8? · Yes0.4000.001$0.03−$19.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 10:07Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.41$2.75
10-08 10:07Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.404145$8.08
10-08 10:07Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.4$3.61
10-08 10:07Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.4$4.10
10-08 10:06Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.38$5.02
10-08 06:34Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8?BUY0.276906$13.85
10-08 06:33Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?SELL0.1555858193$10.80
10-08 05:10Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 8?BUY0.4$20.00
10-08 04:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?SELL0.011$0.22
10-07 17:49Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 8?SELL0.005$0.25
10-07 17:35Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?BUY0.1169204981$4.88
10-07 17:35Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?BUY0.1$2.76
10-07 17:29Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?SELL0.0666126356$5.22
10-07 10:59Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 7?BUY0.119$1.19
10-07 07:27Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?BUY0.21$5.25