sowano
0x8002b4c99629fece2d793ee7f203f3d81c097895
- Realised P&L
- $-318.17
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $44.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.674 | 0.840 | $18.23 | +$3.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.285 | $16.87 | −$6.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.595 | $8.92 | −$0.67 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 8? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.015 | $0.12 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$0.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 8? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$1.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$19.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.38at 0.394Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?
- +$56.32at 0.285Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 4?
- +$54.19at 0.276Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 3?
- +$53.77at 0.012Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 5?
- +$50.47at 0.213Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.75 |
| 10-08 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.404145 | $8.08 |
| 10-08 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.61 |
| 10-08 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.10 |
| 10-08 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.38 | $5.02 |
| 10-08 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.276906 | $13.85 |
| 10-08 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.1555858193 | $10.80 |
| 10-08 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 04:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 10-07 17:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.25 |
| 10-07 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.1169204981 | $4.88 |
| 10-07 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.76 |
| 10-07 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.0666126356 | $5.22 |
| 10-07 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.119 | $1.19 |
| 10-07 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.21 | $5.25 |