PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

avon5

0x7ffc53e8b88c2cda6e2c9be761fdc6da414dd342

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$401.7k
Markets traded
224
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded224
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6670.639$4.6k$194.61
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3730.282$541.24$173.39
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.6900.910$91.00+$22.00
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8680.875$87.53+$0.74
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · No0.5520.348$84.95$49.80
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · No0.3590.090$4.41$13.17
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$0.68
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$8.01
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00$148.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 15:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-09 15:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.3699999867$5.00
09-09 12:06LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.43$2.68
08-21 19:28Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?BUY0.52$39.15
08-07 13:01SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?BUY0.79$158.00
08-07 12:31SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?SELL0.2245456198$61.75
08-07 12:30SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?SELL0.24$6.00
07-31 06:48Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?BUY0.03$0.30
07-25 10:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.6899999925$25.00
07-18 13:31Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.87$0.10
07-11 21:57Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.999$159.84
07-11 20:40Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.63$69.30
07-09 18:29Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.266$133.00
07-06 21:07Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.4599999988$105.00
07-06 21:05Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.027708$1.39