elsarmad2
0x7ffa829f597caf9cfd49d7a5e8a9f224a5e0b3c0
- Realised P&L
- $-12.30
- Volume
- $68.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,905
- Open portfolio
- $697.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,905
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.66at 0.973Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?
- +$1.64at 0.891Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.62at 0.951Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 19?
- +$1.42at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?
- +$1.32at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on October 1? | BUY | 0.9969999841 | $39.92 |
| 10-01 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.94 |
| 10-01 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9979999791 | $39.96 |
| 10-01 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.94 |
| 10-01 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-01 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-01 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9988747657 | $39.96 |
| 10-01 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-01 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9978652668 | $39.92 |
| 10-01 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9979999791 | $39.96 |
| 10-01 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.96 |
| 10-01 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.96 |
| 10-01 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.96 |
| 10-01 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.94 |
| 10-01 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.96 |